This is the standoff they wanted. This is the standoff they will probably get. The leadership is arrested. The refuge is cut off. Its a matter of time before something goes wrong.

Sources

https://www.google.com/maps/place/Malheur+National+Wildlife+Refuge/@43.2653346,-118.8445823,171m/data=!3m1!1e3!4m2!3m1!1s0x54b0cc82b05d2dff:0x3bad40bd36367dfd!6m1!1e1

https://www.oathkeepers.org/critical-warning-to-u-s-military-and-federal-leo-do-not-follow-orders-to-waco-ammon-bundy-occupation-in-oregon-or-you-risk-starting-a-civil-war/

http://koin.com/2016/01/27/roadblocks-set-around-refuge-militia-still-inside/